Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 26.2% | 73.8% | +5.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +20 (92-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 45 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 8-9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 24 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 39 | 5-16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jahidi White * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Robert Archibald | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Cezary Trybanski | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 41 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 38 | 6-15 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 37 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 20 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter