Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✗ (16.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -16 (70-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 39 | 8-18 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 21 | 29 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 37 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 34 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 21 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 46 | 7-17 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 42 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 33 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Wallace | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter