Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.5% | 90.5% | +12.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +15 (92-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larry Hughes * | 31 | 2-13 | 1-6 | 10-12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 27 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Haywood * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 20 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 20 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 17 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 16 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Earl Watson * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 32 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 12 | - |
| James Posey * | 31 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 28 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Bonzi Wells * | 25 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 24 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 19 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Dahntay Jones | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter