Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.9% | 12.1% | -10.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.0% | 33.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.4% | 11.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic -11 (94-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 19-34 | 0-2 | 9-13 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 47 | 26 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 39 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 30 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracy McGrady * | 45 | 7-27 | 1-7 | 13-13 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 11 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 42 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tyronn Lue * | 40 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 36 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 35 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 23 | 28 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rod Strickland * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Zaza Pachulia | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keith Bogans | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter