Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | +2.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +10 (105-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 40 | 7-20 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Mark Blount * | 39 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 32 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Mike James * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 20 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Marcus Banks * | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Carter * | 38 | 8-18 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Donyell Marshall * | 37 | 7-14 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 37 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Rose * | 36 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 20 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Lonny Baxter * | 17 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Michael Curry | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jerome Moiso | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lamond Murray | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Mengke Bateer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter