Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 35.9% | 64.1% | +3.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +12 (78-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Bosh * | 46 | 4-17 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Jerome Moiso * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 31 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 29 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 25 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -3 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Mengke Bateer * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 40 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 33 | 4-16 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| John Wallace | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
* = starter