Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +16 (103-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 26 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 19 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jason Hart * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Devin Brown * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Robert Horry | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 30 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 20 | - |
| Devean George * | 26 | 8-9 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-9 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 18 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Slava Medvedenko * | 18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 12 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Luke Walton | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter