Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +10 (113-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 40 | 13-30 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 18 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | - |
| Josh Howard * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Travis Best * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Tony Delk * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Marquis Daniels | 7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Anthony * | 40 | 9-16 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21 | - |
| Voshon Lenard * | 32 | 6-14 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Andre Miller * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Francisco Elson * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jon Barry * | 15 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Rodney White * | 7 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
* = starter