Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 51.9% | 48.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +12 (95-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwyane Wade * | 39 | 5-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 36 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 34 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 26 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Wallace | 8 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Terry * | 39 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 19 | - |
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 36 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 12-13 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 34 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 34 | 5-17 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Dion Glover * | 18 | 2-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed * | 17 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Boris Diaw * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Lee Nailon * | 11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Travis Hansen * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter