Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +10 (82-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 40 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | - |
| LeBron James * | 38 | 5-17 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Jason Kapono * | 34 | 5-14 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 21 | 1-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| DeSagana Diop * | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Bruno Sundov * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baron Davis * | 42 | 9-21 | 3-11 | 5-6 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 19 | - |
| P.J. Brown * | 36 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| David Wesley * | 33 | 9-22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 5 | - |
| Jamaal Magloire * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| George Lynch * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 20 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 17 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| David West * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Sean Rooks * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter