Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 53.2% | 46.8% | -0.7 | ✗ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +2 (100-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eddie Jones * | 41 | 7-20 | 2-7 | 6-9 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 40 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 37 | 9-18 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 26 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| John Wallace * | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyrone Hill | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Johnson * | 40 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 36 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Zarko Cabarkapa * | 10 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Leandro Barbosa * | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jahidi White | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter