Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 29.9% | 70.1% | +4.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +10 (101-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 29 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| John Wallace | 17 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Tyrone Hill | 10 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Samaki Walker | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Richardson * | 41 | 12-21 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 38 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 32 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Clifford Robinson * | 29 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 14 | - |
| Brian Cardinal * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 17 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Cherokee Parks * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Sean Lampley | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter