Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (95-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 41 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 8-11 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 33 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 36 | 3-13 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 35 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 33 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Carter * | 11 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Devin Brown | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 45 | 10-25 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 44 | 5-17 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 7-19 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Danny Fortson * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Travis Best * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter