Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.7% | 67.3% | +4.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -7 (98-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 44 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 4-7 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 34 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 8-9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 7 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| John Wallace | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Bimbo Coles | 5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 40 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Flip Murray * | 35 | 11-23 | 2-9 | 7-10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 31 | 12 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 32 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Daniels * | 20 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jerome James * | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ansu Sesay * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Luke Ridnour | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Richie Frahm | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter