Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✗ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +22 (99-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Udonis Haslem * | 36 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Lamar Odom * | 35 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 27 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 27 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 22 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tyrone Hill * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| John Wallace * | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Loren Woods | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jerome Beasley | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bimbo Coles | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 34 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 15-16 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 26 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 28 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 24 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 23 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Devean George * | 22 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kareem Rush * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Horace Grant * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Luke Walton * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Bryon Russell * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Sampson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jannero Pargo | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter