Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 21.2% | 78.8% | +7.2 | ✓ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat +4 (105-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 50 | 10-24 | 2-9 | 5-7 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 12 | - |
| Jarvis Hayes * | 41 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 40 | 8-18 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 38 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 47 | 10-23 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 43 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 43 | 8-22 | 4-11 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Dwyane Wade * | 33 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Caron Butler * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 20 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| John Wallace * | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
* = starter