Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.2% | 54.8% | +1.1 | ✓ (24.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Wizards +26 (86-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vince Carter * | 37 | 8-21 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | -1 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 17 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 29 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Bosh * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 25 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 23 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Lamond Murray * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Michael Curry * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jerome Moiso * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Chris Jefferies | 6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarvis Hayes * | 41 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Jared Jeffries * | 28 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Larry Hughes * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Christian Laettner * | 27 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Kwame Brown * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Juan Dixon * | 22 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Etan Thomas * | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Whitney | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brendan Haywood | 5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
* = starter