Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Heat | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +7 (80-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Odom * | 39 | 6-15 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 39 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Eddie Jones * | 34 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 7-7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 17 | - |
| Brian Grant * | 33 | 1-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Udonis Haslem * | 32 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| John Wallace * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Loren Woods * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Bimbo Coles * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Malik Allen * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kirk Penney | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Hart * | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 33 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 32 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 31 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu * | 23 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Robert Horry * | 15 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 15 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Shane Heal * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ron Mercer * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter