Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.2% | 63.8% | +3.1 | ✗ (24.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -21 (72-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 37 | 9-24 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 35 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 29 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 27 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 17 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Smith * | 37 | 4-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| David Robinson * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 22 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Mengke Bateer | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
* = starter