Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +11 (97-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Stromile Swift * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 30 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 26 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Mike Batiste * | 16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Robert Archibald * | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 16 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey * | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Chris Owens | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 41 | 7-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 36 | 8-16 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | - |
| James Posey * | 32 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 8-8 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 29 | - |
| Kelvin Cato * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Terence Morris * | 18 | 8-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Moochie Norris * | 16 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Glen Rice | 22 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter