Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | +7.6 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (109-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 44 | 10-28 | 4-10 | 11-11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 18 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 31 | 0-9 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 29 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 26 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 8-10 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 25 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Calvin Booth * | 14 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 45 | 14-21 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 34 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 34 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 26 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Walt Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter