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2003-04-14

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 15.9% 84.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.5% 88.5% - โœ“
Margin 4.9% 95.1% +16.3 โœ“ (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 25.5% 74.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.1% 90.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 20.0% 80.0% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Pistons +1 (89-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Miles * 48 7-18 0-0 0-0 8 3 3 1 3 14 8 -
Ricky Davis * 45 10-24 1-3 4-5 9 12 0 1 3 25 20 -
Milt Palacio * 42 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 6 11 -
Zydrunas Ilgauskas * 35 9-14 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 1 5 22 13 -
Carlos Boozer * 32 6-8 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 0 2 13 13 -
Chris Mihm * 20 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 6 5 -
DeSagana Diop * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Smush Parker 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Clifford Robinson * 41 5-13 2-3 3-5 7 2 2 2 2 15 13 -
Chauncey Billups * 33 2-8 1-2 6-6 6 6 0 0 2 11 13 -
Richard Hamilton * 32 7-20 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 0 16 3 -
Mehmet Okur * 31 3-9 0-2 1-2 6 2 1 2 0 7 9 -
Corliss Williamson * 29 5-9 0-1 8-10 1 0 1 1 1 18 11 -
Tayshaun Prince * 23 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 5 3 -
Michael Curry * 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
Chucky Atkins * 14 3-5 1-2 2-2 3 2 1 0 0 9 10 -
Jon Barry * 14 2-6 1-2 0-1 1 1 0 0 0 5 1 -

* = starter