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2003-04-14

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 30.0% 70.0% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 47.0% 53.0% +0.7 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +16 (100-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tracy McGrady * 28 6-18 2-7 8-11 6 5 0 1 3 22 13 -
Drew Gooden * 27 3-9 0-0 9-10 10 2 2 0 0 15 20 -
Darrell Armstrong * 26 0-8 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -7 -
Jacque Vaughn * 25 3-7 0-1 1-3 4 1 2 0 1 7 6 -
Gordan Giricek * 24 3-10 0-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 4 6 -2 -
Jeryl Sasser * 21 2-7 2-3 0-0 5 0 1 1 0 6 6 -
Steven Hunter * 17 0-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 0 2 -
Pat Garrity * 16 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 3 -
Chris Whitney * 16 1-4 1-2 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Andrew DeClercq * 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
Shawn Kemp * 12 2-5 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Pat Burke 9 2-6 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 1 0 4 1 -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ira Newble * 37 8-16 0-3 7-7 10 3 2 1 1 23 22 -
Jason Terry * 35 9-11 2-2 3-3 1 7 2 0 2 23 20 -
Theo Ratliff * 34 1-7 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 6 1 5 11 -
Dion Glover * 33 4-13 1-3 2-2 8 5 2 1 2 11 12 -
Shareef Abdur-Rahim * 29 4-11 0-0 4-5 5 6 0 1 2 12 11 -
Alan Henderson * 20 4-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 1 3 8 6 -
Jermaine Jackson * 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 0 4 0 0 1 6 5 -
Dan Dickau * 16 4-6 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 11 4 -
Darvin Ham * 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Mikki Moore 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter