Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +7 (92-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 36 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 31 | 4-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| David Robinson * | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 48 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 46 | 9-19 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 37 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 35 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 23 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter