Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (117-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 40 | 11-24 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 35 | 8-19 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 2 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 25 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 21 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 17 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Jiri Welsch * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 39 | 10-22 | 3-5 | 14-15 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 37 | 31 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 31 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Walt Williams * | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Avery Johnson * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter