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2003-04-12

Model Predictions

Model Atlanta Hawks Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.3 โœ— (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 38.5% 61.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.4% 61.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - โœ—

Actual: Washington Wizards -1 (100-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jason Terry * 43 7-15 3-5 4-4 2 9 0 0 3 21 14 -
Shareef Abdur-Rahim * 40 8-16 0-0 0-0 9 6 1 0 1 16 15 -
Ira Newble * 37 9-15 3-5 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 21 12 -
Theo Ratliff * 35 4-12 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 7 2 9 12 -
Dion Glover * 34 5-11 3-6 3-3 8 4 0 0 1 16 16 -
Jermaine Jackson * 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 2 6 -
Alan Henderson * 14 2-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
Darvin Ham * 13 5-6 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 0 1 12 9 -
Dan Dickau 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyronn Lue * 35 5-12 0-0 3-3 1 7 2 0 0 13 11 -
Christian Laettner * 32 8-12 0-0 2-2 11 6 0 1 0 18 24 -
Larry Hughes * 31 7-14 0-1 2-2 3 2 3 0 3 16 7 -
Bobby Simmons * 29 4-8 0-0 5-5 4 4 0 0 0 13 13 -
Michael Jordan * 29 8-16 0-0 1-2 8 6 1 1 2 17 15 -
Brendan Haywood * 22 2-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Kwame Brown * 22 2-13 0-0 2-5 5 0 1 2 0 6 1 -
Juan Dixon * 16 3-8 0-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 6 3 -
Jahidi White * 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 0 3 8 -
Bryon Russell * 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

* = starter