Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.0% | 87.0% | +10.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +16 (117-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 41 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 5-8 | 2 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 41 | 11-21 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 16 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 39 | 11-21 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 36 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bob Sura | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 5-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jiri Welsch | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephon Marbury * | 43 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Shawn Marion * | 42 | 10-20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 39 | 11-17 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 21 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 32 | 9-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 30 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jake Tsakalidis * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen * | 11 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Scott Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dan Langhi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter