Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +3 (95-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 10-22 | 4-6 | 10-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 39 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 31 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 29 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 37 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| John Stockton * | 31 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko * | 29 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Scott Padgett * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | - |
| Mark Jackson * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter