๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2003-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 38.9% 61.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% - โœ“
Margin 39.0% 61.0% +2.5 โœ“ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 50.1% 49.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 54.0% 46.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - โœ“

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +4 (93-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Clifford Robinson * 36 5-13 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 11 0 -
Richard Hamilton * 34 7-14 0-1 2-2 6 0 2 1 3 16 8 -
Mehmet Okur * 33 1-6 0-1 3-4 9 3 0 1 1 5 11 -
Chauncey Billups * 32 6-13 1-4 3-4 6 4 3 1 2 16 15 -
Corliss Williamson * 30 9-16 0-0 3-4 7 5 2 0 7 21 12 -
Michael Curry * 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Zeljko Rebraca * 20 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Chucky Atkins * 15 2-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
Jon Barry * 13 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 5 6 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
George Lynch * 40 7-12 1-1 0-4 9 2 4 0 0 15 18 -
Jamal Mashburn * 39 7-22 2-5 4-5 8 8 0 1 2 20 13 -
Jamaal Magloire * 36 6-10 0-0 7-8 18 2 1 2 5 19 27 -
David Wesley * 32 3-10 0-5 2-3 0 1 0 0 0 8 -1 -
Kenny Anderson * 23 4-8 0-0 1-2 0 4 2 0 2 9 5 -
Stacey Augmon * 22 1-7 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 2 1 -
Robert Traylor * 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 1 2 4 8 -
Courtney Alexander * 15 4-8 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 10 4 -
Jerome Moiso * 14 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -

* = starter