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2003-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% -
Bradley-Terry 30.3% 69.7% -
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.0% 53.0% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +9 (108-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 40 8-20 2-7 8-8 9 2 1 0 3 26 15 -
Steve Nash * 39 5-17 2-9 7-7 4 10 0 0 5 19 11 -
Nick Van Exel * 31 3-13 0-4 3-3 4 5 1 1 1 9 6 -
Raef LaFrentz * 28 10-14 6-8 0-0 7 1 1 1 2 26 20 -
Eduardo Najera * 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
Adrian Griffin * 23 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tariq Abdul-Wahad * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 1 0 3 -
Raja Bell * 11 3-3 3-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 11 10 -
Shawn Bradley * 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
Evan Eschmeyer 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 -
Popeye Jones 7 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Avery Johnson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Horry * 40 7-14 1-3 2-4 10 4 3 0 3 17 17 -
Kobe Bryant * 39 4-16 1-4 5-7 8 4 2 0 3 14 9 -
Derek Fisher * 39 6-11 2-2 2-2 5 8 2 0 1 16 19 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 32 6-14 0-0 2-6 10 1 0 1 1 14 11 -
Devean George * 25 6-7 2-2 7-7 4 0 0 0 1 21 17 -
Rick Fox * 22 6-14 4-8 0-0 4 6 1 0 4 16 9 -
Jannero Pargo * 15 3-5 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 6 3 -
Kareem Rush * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Brian Shaw * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mark Madsen 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
Samaki Walker 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
Slava Medvedenko 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter