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2003-04-08

Model Predictions

Model Portland Trail Blazers Houston Rockets Spread Result
Elo 55.1% 44.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 52.6% 47.4% - โœ“
Margin 39.4% 60.6% +2.4 โœ— (17.4 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% - โœ—

Actual: Houston Rockets -15 (66-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rasheed Wallace * 38 1-6 0-2 2-2 7 1 2 1 4 4 5 -
Bonzi Wells * 35 6-13 1-1 4-4 11 2 2 0 2 17 17 -
Damon Stoudamire * 34 8-13 2-4 3-4 3 3 1 0 2 21 13 -
Derek Anderson * 26 4-9 0-1 2-2 1 2 2 0 2 10 4 -
Jeff McInnis * 25 3-8 1-1 1-1 4 4 0 0 0 8 8 -
Dale Davis * 25 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 0 2 5 -
Arvydas Sabonis * 22 5-7 0-0 1-2 7 2 0 1 0 11 14 -
Qyntel Woods * 12 2-6 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 4 -1 -
Zach Randolph * 9 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Antonio Daniels 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cuttino Mobley * 44 3-12 0-6 2-2 7 1 3 0 4 8 3 -
Steve Francis * 41 5-20 1-3 1-2 4 4 1 3 2 12 2 -
James Posey * 31 6-12 0-2 3-3 7 2 2 0 0 15 14 -
Ming Yao * 31 2-13 0-0 2-2 12 0 1 1 3 6 4 -
Maurice Taylor * 26 3-11 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 4 8 1 -
Eddie Griffin * 21 3-7 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 7 5 -
Kelvin Cato * 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
Glen Rice 16 3-6 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
Moochie Norris 9 1-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter