Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.2% | 86.8% | +10.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +18 (108-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordan Giricek * | 33 | 6-13 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 27 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Steven Hunter * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 25 | 3-14 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 23 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser * | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - |
| Pat Burke * | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Kemp | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 10-22 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 15 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 35 | 10-15 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 21 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 33 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad | 18 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| Popeye Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Evan Eschmeyer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Bradley | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter