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2003-04-04

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 86.0% 14.0% -
Bradley-Terry 68.2% 31.8% -
Margin 52.9% 47.1% -0.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.4% 48.6% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -1 (101-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 40 7-15 3-5 4-4 7 6 1 0 5 21 15 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 39 13-20 0-0 7-13 19 3 0 2 4 33 33 -
Rick Fox * 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 5 0 0 1 3 5 -
Derek Fisher * 24 2-7 1-2 1-1 1 0 1 0 0 6 1 -
Jannero Pargo * 23 2-7 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
Robert Horry * 18 0-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 0 -4 -
Devean George * 16 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 5 3 -
Kareem Rush * 14 3-7 0-3 3-4 3 2 1 1 0 9 9 -
Mark Madsen * 13 5-7 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 10 6 -
Slava Medvedenko * 12 3-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
Brian Shaw * 11 1-4 1-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 1 -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pau Gasol * 37 7-12 0-0 4-6 11 1 2 0 3 18 17 -
Jason Williams * 36 7-17 1-6 3-4 2 12 3 0 2 18 16 -
Shane Battier * 35 5-8 1-4 3-3 5 0 0 3 0 14 14 -
Wesley Person * 33 7-13 3-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 17 9 -
Lorenzen Wright * 26 2-8 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 5 5 0 -
Stromile Swift * 25 2-7 0-0 4-4 6 2 1 5 1 8 14 -
Mike Batiste * 14 4-7 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 0 0 12 10 -
Earl Watson * 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Brevin Knight * 11 1-4 1-1 0-0 0 4 2 0 1 3 4 -
Mike Miller * 4 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

* = starter