Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 89.1% | 10.9% | -11.6 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -26 (98-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Jackson * | 33 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 23 | 24 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 20 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Steven Smith | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Peterson * | 38 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Vince Carter * | 36 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Michael Bradley * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Rafer Alston * | 21 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Jelani McCoy * | 18 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Chris Jefferies * | 18 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Maceo Baston * | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Mamadou N'diaye | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
* = starter