Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.7% | 41.3% | -1.9 | ✓ (16.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies -18 (87-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 34 | 13-16 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 38 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 29 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 25 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 24 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| David Robinson * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzen Wright * | 35 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 32 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Pau Gasol * | 28 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Wesley Person * | 28 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Mike Batiste * | 24 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Earl Watson * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Mike Miller * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Brevin Knight * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Humphrey | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Robert Archibald | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter