Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | +1.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✓ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +7 (106-99). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Posey * | 45 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Cuttino Mobley * | 45 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 42 | 7-15 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 32 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Glen Rice * | 22 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Maurice Taylor * | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Juaquin Hawkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Terence Morris | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 40 | 6-21 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 9-13 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 33 | 5-16 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 30 | 6-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 23 | 5-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Haislip * | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric * | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter