Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.7% | 90.3% | +12.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (118-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gordan Giricek * | 33 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Tracy McGrady * | 32 | 12-26 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 30 | 17 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 26 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Darrell Armstrong * | 25 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Pat Garrity * | 22 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| Shawn Kemp * | 22 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Chris Whitney * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Jeryl Sasser * | 13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Andrew DeClercq * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Steven Hunter | 10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Olumide Oyedeji | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 34 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 32 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| David Robinson * | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 19 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Steven Smith | 10 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter