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2003-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 24.9% 75.1% -
Margin 11.5% 88.5% +11.2 (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +20 (101-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Karl Malone * 31 4-15 0-0 3-4 4 7 2 0 2 11 7 -
Greg Ostertag * 31 7-11 0-0 2-3 10 0 0 1 2 16 14 -
Andrei Kirilenko * 30 2-6 0-0 4-4 2 1 1 1 1 8 6 -
Matt Harpring * 30 6-10 0-2 2-2 2 1 1 0 5 14 3 -
John Stockton * 27 4-8 0-1 2-2 3 6 2 1 2 10 12 -
Calbert Cheaney * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 4 2 -
DeShawn Stevenson * 16 1-6 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -3 -
Scott Padgett * 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
Mark Jackson * 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 3 0 0 3 3 4 -
Tony Massenburg * 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 0 4 6 -
Carlos Arroyo 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 2 2 -
John Amaechi 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Duncan * 32 14-22 0-1 2-3 8 2 1 2 3 30 18 -
Tony Parker * 29 8-12 1-2 0-2 4 7 0 0 2 17 14 -
Bruce Bowen * 29 5-9 4-7 1-1 3 0 1 0 2 15 8 -
Manu Ginobili * 26 1-5 0-2 3-3 5 6 1 0 1 5 11 -
David Robinson * 22 4-8 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 2 8 9 -
Stephen Jackson * 21 0-2 0-1 0-1 3 4 1 0 2 0 4 -
Malik Rose * 20 3-6 0-0 3-4 6 2 2 0 4 9 9 -
Speedy Claxton * 18 4-10 0-1 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 8 4 -
Kevin Willis 13 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 0 2 1 3 -
Steven Smith 10 2-5 1-2 3-4 1 1 0 0 1 8 4 -
Steve Kerr 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
Danny Ferry 6 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter