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2003-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Dallas Mavericks Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 60.1% 39.9% -
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% -
Margin 35.1% 64.9% +3.4 (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 47.9% 52.1% -

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +17 (112-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dallas Mavericks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dirk Nowitzki * 32 6-16 3-9 5-5 3 4 0 0 3 20 8 -
Tariq Abdul-Wahad * 29 6-13 0-1 0-0 8 2 1 0 0 12 10 -
Raef LaFrentz * 26 2-7 0-1 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 5 3 -
Raja Bell * 26 3-5 0-0 0-0 2 4 2 0 1 6 8 -
Steve Nash * 26 6-11 1-2 2-2 1 3 0 0 1 15 7 -
Nick Van Exel * 22 5-9 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 13 6 -
Shawn Bradley * 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 4 2 -
Walt Williams * 18 2-5 0-1 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 5 5 -
Avery Johnson * 13 2-5 0-0 3-3 2 2 2 0 1 7 7 -
Adrian Griffin * 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
Eduardo Najera 16 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 3 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rasheed Wallace * 39 8-15 2-3 2-2 9 4 1 0 2 20 17 -
Bonzi Wells * 34 5-14 0-0 1-2 7 6 1 0 4 11 7 -
Derek Anderson * 34 6-11 3-6 1-1 7 6 0 1 1 16 18 -
Damon Stoudamire * 29 5-9 2-4 5-5 5 5 1 0 3 17 16 -
Dale Davis * 23 6-9 0-0 4-5 2 1 0 0 0 16 10 -
Zach Randolph * 22 6-7 0-0 1-2 9 3 2 0 2 13 18 -
Ruben Patterson * 19 5-8 0-0 1-4 6 1 0 0 0 11 10 -
Jeff McInnis * 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 4 2 -
Arvydas Sabonis * 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Qyntel Woods 5 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
Antonio Daniels 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Charles Smith 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

* = starter