Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (1.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (107-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Mason * | 34 | 8-18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 33 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 31 | 6-12 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Gary Payton * | 31 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 8-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 18 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Haislip | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Dan Gadzuric | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 12-16 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 29 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 33 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 30 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 22 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| David Robinson * | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 12 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 9 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter