Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (22.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +21 (124-103). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 40 | 10-22 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 10 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 37 | 6-13 | 4-7 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 15 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 33 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 6-9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 25 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jiri Welsch | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 40 | 13-20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 28 | 29 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 32 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 29 | - |
| Milt Palacio * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 26 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 25 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jumaine Jones * | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Chris Mihm * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Michael Stewart | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tierre Brown | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter