Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.5% | 17.5% | -8.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets -12 (96-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 40 | 6-23 | 1-8 | 12-12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 34 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 27 | 9-17 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 27 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Walt Williams * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 14 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Raja Bell | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney White * | 39 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Juwan Howard * | 36 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 11 | - |
| Shammond Williams * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 33 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Donnell Harvey * | 30 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili * | 19 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Chris Andersen * | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Trepagnier * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Adam Harrington * | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Predrag Savovic * | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter