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2003-03-23

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 45.4% 54.6% -
Bradley-Terry 32.7% 67.3% -
Margin 26.5% 73.5% +5.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +9 (98-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shaquille O'Neal * 40 12-23 0-0 8-11 12 1 0 6 2 32 26 -
Kobe Bryant * 40 11-30 1-6 8-10 9 0 3 0 3 31 10 -
Derek Fisher * 34 1-5 0-0 1-1 1 3 1 0 1 3 2 -
Robert Horry * 27 2-4 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 3 1 5 10 -
Devean George * 26 2-6 2-4 2-2 7 2 1 0 1 8 11 -
Rick Fox * 21 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 5 4 -1 -
Mark Madsen * 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Kareem Rush * 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Samaki Walker * 7 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Brian Shaw * 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Jannero Pargo 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Slava Medvedenko 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Duncan * 42 10-25 0-0 7-8 17 2 0 2 3 27 20 -
Tony Parker * 37 4-14 0-1 10-10 5 3 1 0 2 18 11 -
Stephen Jackson * 36 2-6 0-1 7-8 1 4 2 1 1 11 12 -
Bruce Bowen * 35 4-6 1-1 1-6 4 3 2 0 0 10 13 -
Malik Rose * 27 3-9 0-0 4-6 12 1 0 1 0 10 15 -
Manu Ginobili * 24 5-9 0-0 4-4 0 1 2 1 1 14 8 -
David Robinson * 17 2-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 1 6 10 -
Speedy Claxton * 6 1-3 0-0 0-1 2 2 0 0 0 2 3 -
Kevin Willis * 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Steve Kerr * 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Danny Ferry 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter