Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.1% | 60.9% | +2.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -2 (110-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 49 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 32 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 46 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 43 | 10-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 40 | 10-21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 10 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 24 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Steven Smith * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Danny Ferry | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 51 | 10-24 | 1-6 | 13-14 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 34 | 20 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 43 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 42 | 12-24 | 4-7 | 7-9 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 35 | 19 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 32 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Walt Williams * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter