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2003-03-15

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 64.4% 35.6% -
Margin 59.4% 40.6% -2.1 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -4 (94-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kobe Bryant * 43 6-14 0-2 8-9 9 4 2 2 5 20 18 -
Shaquille O'Neal * 38 9-23 0-0 6-14 11 5 1 3 7 24 14 -
Derek Fisher * 38 6-7 1-2 0-0 3 5 1 2 1 13 16 -
Rick Fox * 34 4-10 2-4 4-4 4 5 1 0 1 14 13 -
Mark Madsen * 22 5-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 0 0 12 11 -
Robert Horry * 21 1-3 0-1 0-2 5 1 1 1 1 2 6 -
Devean George * 18 2-3 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 8 -
Kareem Rush * 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
Brian Shaw * 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Slava Medvedenko * 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Samaki Walker 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Cassell * 39 7-16 2-3 4-5 7 7 3 0 2 20 19 -
Gary Payton * 39 3-15 0-3 0-0 3 8 3 1 4 6 2 -
Anthony Mason * 33 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 6 7 -
Desmond Mason * 32 6-9 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 12 4 -
Michael Redd * 32 9-15 3-7 0-0 4 3 0 1 0 21 14 -
Toni Kukoc * 27 6-11 4-7 1-1 2 3 0 0 3 17 8 -
Tim Thomas * 23 5-7 1-2 0-1 5 1 2 0 2 11 10 -
Ervin Johnson * 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 1 1 -

* = starter