Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.5% | 32.5% | -4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors -2 (114-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 38 | 9-21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 37 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 31 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 26 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 18 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 12 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tariq Abdul-Wahad * | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Raja Bell | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Walt Williams | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gilbert Arenas * | 42 | 12-24 | 1-8 | 4-6 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 29 | 13 | - |
| Antawn Jamison * | 32 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 28 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 23 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 20 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Jiri Welsch | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter