Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.5% | 36.5% | -3.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +7 (107-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 43 | 9-20 | 3-8 | 6-8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Steve Nash * | 36 | 8-15 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 34 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 34 | 5-18 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel * | 32 | 10-16 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 12 | - |
| Eduardo Najera * | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Raja Bell * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Walt Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashard Lewis * | 43 | 12-18 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 | 23 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 42 | 11-18 | 0-3 | 7-7 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 35 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Vladimir Radmanovic * | 28 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kevin Ollie * | 26 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Reggie Evans * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Elden Campbell * | 18 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Joseph Forte | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter