Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -12 (99-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 40 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 40 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 31 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 31 | 9-16 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 28 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 27 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mengke Bateer | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Garnett * | 42 | 6-19 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 42 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Troy Hudson * | 36 | 12-20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 14 | - |
| Anthony Peeler * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kendall Gill * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Mike Wilks * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marc Jackson * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Joe Smith * | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Gary Trent | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Igor Rakocevic | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
* = starter