Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Golden State Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.2% | 35.8% | -1.4 | ✗ (16.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.5% | 57.5% | +1.7 | ✓ (13.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Golden State Warriors +15 (113-98). Ratings: 2002-03 season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Marion * | 42 | 8-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | - |
| Stephon Marbury * | 38 | 5-16 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Amar'e Stoudemire * | 33 | 11-15 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Joe Johnson * | 28 | 2-14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Anfernee Hardaway * | 24 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Scott Williams * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jake Voskuhl * | 14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Dan Langhi * | 13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Bo Outlaw * | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Casey Jacobsen | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Randy Brown | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Tom Gugliotta | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antawn Jamison * | 39 | 10-17 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 18 | - |
| Adonal Foyle * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 34 | - |
| Jason Richardson * | 31 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 30 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Gilbert Arenas * | 28 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Bob Sura * | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Earl Boykins * | 19 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Mike Dunleavy * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Erick Dampier * | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Jiri Welsch | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter