Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -3.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -3 (102-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 44 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 31 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 40 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Malik Rose * | 33 | 13-21 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 32 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Manu Ginobili * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 26 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Speedy Claxton * | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Willis * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Steve Kerr * | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Danny Ferry * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 41 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Desmond Mason * | 37 | 10-15 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 22 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 35 | 8-18 | 3-3 | 7-9 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Toni Kukoc * | 30 | 7-13 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Ervin Johnson * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Michael Redd * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jason Caffey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter